Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.533802 4.118119 4.737287 5.439124 6.209459 7.026227 7.954655
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.613574 3.403569 4.301587 5.384624 6.642124 8.043553 9.710626
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.130158 3.067605 4.200881 5.639794 7.386425 9.407849 11.893514
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.682329 2.682939 3.968000 5.680067 7.842833 10.429097 13.699315
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.441152 2.514044 3.964924 5.975358 8.596092 11.809434 15.958163
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.232406 2.347897 3.932612 6.209178 9.261093 13.085505 18.111851
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.027991 2.148203 3.821719 6.312618 9.742363 14.128615 19.988426
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.822740 1.906120 3.615110 6.254404 9.988121 14.860359 21.473993
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.697054 1.771407 3.548232 6.378415 10.471549 15.899719 23.361247
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.590051 1.647579 3.480303 6.487071 10.926236 16.901304 25.208950
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.459537 1.448073 3.263563 6.349220 11.015912 17.405118 26.404342
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.351842 1.266058 3.050929 6.195032 11.064370 17.841849 27.506800
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.275001 1.133087 2.911590 6.151511 11.279529 18.523782 28.968675
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.208763 1.003043 2.759413 6.072792 11.434060 19.120888 30.324930
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.185020 0.980929 2.812404 6.340045 12.121928 20.482862 32.745234
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.146599 0.900419 2.737137 6.378875 12.453888 21.340811 34.483660
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.133249 0.896138 2.819094 6.696087 13.228590 22.847040 37.138065
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.117170 0.876188 2.864311 6.947638 13.903592 24.218079 39.620527
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.095595 0.825269 2.834379 7.058770 14.354134 25.266811 41.663635
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.070009 0.740816 2.715506 6.995596 14.516806 25.891541 43.115079
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.056851 0.703771 2.702851 7.129371 15.001948 26.997830 45.257393
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.045378 0.666287 2.683390 7.246588 15.459298 28.065985 47.353676
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.029429 0.583067 2.533782 7.097741 15.463668 28.450579 48.474452